the polls are still sooo close, but, wait, where is christopher cole? why isn’t he in this pollster poll? why hasn’t he had a premier in my blog? (actually, if you look carefully, he is there on the rollover screen, with a 6.3%)
so lets discuss christopher quickly, because he’s totally overshadowed and rolled-over and therefore not too important in the world of politics. unless he takes key votes away from one of the candidates, which, as we all know can make or break an election.
christopher (is it okay if i call you chris?) is a libertarian (the party of principle!).
his emphasis is to: end the war in iraq, abolish the personal income tax, establish a free market healthcare reform, and respond to illegal immigration in a ‘radically anti-bueracratic’ manner.
YES! YOU GO CHRIS! i fully believe in him, and, if this is what the voters decide they want, he can probably accomplish all of this singlehandedly.
however, since we as voters would rather get bogged down with realism, let’s discuss how much chris will make a difference this election cycle. because even though he’s not on display in pollster, Survey USA gave chris a 7% in polls recorded on the 12th of august. i would predict this percentage to reach between 0 and 2% by election day. this race is too important to throw away a vote on a 3rd party candidate.
From the public policy polling group, chris still held 6% two weeks later, with 10% of the north carolina electorate undecided. the margin between dole and hagan is also somewhat larger than the Survey USA in this poll, with 38% for elizabeth dole and 46% for kay hagan.
on fivethirtyeight, the three most credible polling stations have kay outranking elizabeth by +8 (public polling place, see above), +2, and +3. two more polls (with the same amount of credibility as poll site #3) put elizabeth ahead, with a +2 and a +8.
we will see, we will see. four(ish) more weeks!
